National Implications of the Sandakan By-Election Results

Media Statement by Dr. Ong Kian Ming, Member of Parliament for Bangi and Assistant National Director for Political Education for the Democratic Action Party (DAP) on the 13th of May, 2019

The Sandakan parliament by-election results provided a much needed morale booster to Pakatan Harapan (PH) after 3 successive by-election defeats in Cameron Highlands (parliament), Semenyih (state) and Rantau (state). Sandakan also provides some important lessons and implications for PH at the national level. To deliver Sandakan’s ‘winning formula’ to other parts of Malaysia is definitely more challenging but not impossible.

Summary of Results

The expectation was that with a reduced turnout, DAP would have its majority of approximately 10,000 votes from GE14 cut significantly. But despite overall turnout falling from 71.9% in GE14 to 54.4% in the by-election, DAP managed to increase its vote share by 7.4% from 66.8% in GE14 to 74.2% in the by-election. With this increase in vote share and the presence of independent candidates which siphoned away 5.1% of total votes (presumably from PBS), DAP was able to increase its majority to 11521 in the by-election (See Table 1).

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Winning the Malay and Bumiputra vote, one step at a time…

Media Statement by Dr. Ong Kian Ming, Member of Parliament for Bangi and Assistant National Director for Political Education for the Democratic Action Party (DAP) on the 7th of February, 2019

The question of how much Malay support was obtained by Pakatan Harapan (PH) in the 14th General Election (GE14) has been raised periodically since the 9th of May, 2019. Merdeka Center, a respected polling company, estimates that PH’s share of the Malay vote in GE14 at between 25-30%, BN’s share at between 35-40% and PAS’s share to be between 30-33%.[1]

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The inability for PH to make significant headway among the Orang Asli and Malay voters in Cameron Highlands shows how much more work needs to be done

Media Statement by Dr. Ong Kian Ming on the Cameron Highlands By-Election Results on the 28th of January, 2019

A day before the campaign for the Cameron Highlands parliamentary seat by-election began on the 12th of January, 2019, I wrote the following[1]:

Winning this by-election is difficult but not impossible. If PH can hit the following by-election targets, chances are there for PH to eke out a victory. These targets include:

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