山打根补选结果对国家的意义

2019513万宜区国会议员兼民主行动党全国政治教育局副主任王建民博士之媒体文告

在金马伦高原(议会),士毛月(州)和金马伦(州)连续3次补选失败之后,山打根州议会胜选的成绩为希盟(PH)起了鼓舞的作用。这次的胜利可让希盟作为一个借镜,并从中吸取重要的教训。将山打根补选胜利的政策应用于其他的选区并非不可能,只是极具挑战性。

胜选概要选民预期随着投票率的降低,民主行动党将面临与第十四届全国大选相比下多数票减低或大约10,000张选票将减少的现象。。尽管如此,总投票率从第十四届全国大选的71.9%下降到补选中的54.4%,民主行动党成功把总选票率增加了7.4%, 与大选时期相比下的66.8%提高到了补选时的74.2%总选票率增加及独立候选人的出现虽然分散了大约5.1%的总投票率 (或来自沙巴团结党),民主行动党还是成功以以多数票11521在补选中胜出 (见表1)。

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National Implications of the Sandakan By-Election Results

Media Statement by Dr. Ong Kian Ming, Member of Parliament for Bangi and Assistant National Director for Political Education for the Democratic Action Party (DAP) on the 13th of May, 2019

The Sandakan parliament by-election results provided a much needed morale booster to Pakatan Harapan (PH) after 3 successive by-election defeats in Cameron Highlands (parliament), Semenyih (state) and Rantau (state). Sandakan also provides some important lessons and implications for PH at the national level. To deliver Sandakan’s ‘winning formula’ to other parts of Malaysia is definitely more challenging but not impossible.

Summary of Results

The expectation was that with a reduced turnout, DAP would have its majority of approximately 10,000 votes from GE14 cut significantly. But despite overall turnout falling from 71.9% in GE14 to 54.4% in the by-election, DAP managed to increase its vote share by 7.4% from 66.8% in GE14 to 74.2% in the by-election. With this increase in vote share and the presence of independent candidates which siphoned away 5.1% of total votes (presumably from PBS), DAP was able to increase its majority to 11521 in the by-election (See Table 1).

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随着希盟执政将近一年,应持谨慎及乐观态度面对2019下半年的经济展望

2019年5月8日- 马来西亚国际贸易及工业部副部长王建民博士媒体文告

1. 当马来西亚统计局(DOSM)在商业趋势调查报告中公布2019年第一季度季度信心指标时,这数据显示从2018年第四季度的7.1%降至-2.2% 。从统计局公布的2019年2月领先指数经济指标数据显示,从118.9下降了2.2%至116.3,这是自2009年4月以来的最大跌幅。由市场研究公司IHS-Markit发布的2019年3月日经指数采购经理指数(PMI)显示为47.2,这个指数连续第六个月低于50大关(更多关于此后的意义))。第一季度的贸易总额下降了1.5%。 而2019年马来西亚第一季度经济负面消息也因零售销售放缓。

2. 在所有这些负面消息中,随着希盟(PH)执政一年后,有一些积极的迹象显示经济有正面回转的现象并谨慎乐观地认为2019年下半年将会有更好的成绩。

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